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Hyperlex Roadmap

Vision

Hyperlex is a Hermes skill backed by this Python package repo. Relevant Abraxas wire capabilities ship as Hyperlex modules (hyperlex.compat.abraxas); hosts import from Hyperlex.

Hyperlex evolves into the canonical engine for detecting, scoring, and acting on emerging memetic signals in real time — grounded in real data, arXiv research, and strict provenance.

Phases

Phase 0 — Foundation (Complete)

  • Standalone Python package (hyperlex)
  • Core modules: neologism, semantic variation, virality, memetics, hyperstition
  • Real ingest (Action Network glossary + Reddit)
  • Strict JSON + receipt system
  • External signal integration stub
  • arXiv distillation applied

Phase 1 — Robust Ingest & Provenance (Complete)

  • [x] X/Twitter ingest (API bearer / xurl / structured stub)
  • [x] Firecrawl / crawl4ai web scrape adapters (graceful fallback)
  • [x] Glossary expansion (glossary_expanded multi-source pack)
  • [x] Persistent cache + rate limiting (~/.hyperlex/cache/, rate_limit.json)
  • [x] Enhanced provenance fingerprints (source_fingerprint, content_hash, locator)
  • [x] Receipt ledger (append-only, hash-chained) — ~/.hyperlex/receipt_ledger.jsonl

Phase 2 — Advanced Analysis & Calibration (Complete)

  • [x] Golden settled series fixture + tests
  • [x] Brier score calculation layer (atomic, series, BSS, Murphy, Yates)
  • [x] Forecast extraction + settlement models (hyperlex.calibration)
  • [x] Remove decorative provenance.brier from open analysis results
  • [x] Neologism rules + community drivers + virality prediction v0
  • [x] Memetic typology expansion; slang lineage docs + matcher + confidence
  • [x] Automated diagrams from receipt histories
  • [x] Operator settlement + score log; Abraxas-compatible ledger export
  • [x] Advisory mean-shift recalibration
  • [x] YTD slang backfill packs + lineage backpropagation (non-mutating)

Phase 3 — Hermes / Symbolic Integration (Complete)

  • [x] Hermes skill packaging (SKILL.md, install.sh)
  • [x] Rune / signal relay (RUNE.HLX.*)
  • [x] Hyperstition feedback + market-signal connectors
  • [x] Cron / autonomous monitoring (scan)

Phase 4 — Production & Ecosystem (Complete)

  • [x] Local/Hermes packaging — no public PyPI publish planned
  • [x] Golden receipt corpus + API v1 freeze
  • [x] CI + MkDocs / GitHub Pages
  • [x] Case studies; governed LLM (opt-in); cross-domain lineages
  • [x] Long-term analysis archive (archive-export → docs/archive)

Phase 5 — Research simulation (Current focus · v0.3.0+)

  • [x] 5.0 Cultural transmission simulation (hyperlex.simulation.transmission)
  • [x] 5.0 Multi-agent memetic modeling (hyperlex.simulation.agents)
  • [x] 5.0 Hyperstition risk forecasting for real-world systems (hyperlex.simulation.risk)
  • [x] 5.0 Phylogeny scaffold from registry + backfill timeline
  • [x] 5.0 Composed scenario runner + CLI simulate
  • [x] 5.0 Docs: docs/phase5.md, docs/modules/simulation.md
  • [x] 5.0 Local SQLite vector DB (hyperlex.vectordb, vector-seed / vector-search)
  • [x] 5.0 Analyze attaches vector_neighbors when DB present; receipts auto-index (fail-open)
  • [x] 5.x Chroma local + Cloud backend; vector-export / import / sync promote path
  • [x] 5.x Fail-open vector auto-index on ingest/pipeline/receipt (local sqlite/chroma)

  • [ ] 5.x+ Optional post-ingest Cloud promote (HYPERLEX_VECTOR_PROMOTE) — off by default

  • [x] 5.1 Domain-specific phylogeny packs (data/phylogeny/: finance, ai-native, political, regional)

  • [x] 5.1 Transmission parameter calibration against settled series (still no invented Brier)
  • [x] 5.1 Vector hybrid re-rank for lineage matcher (match_lineage + local vector DB)
  • [x] 5.2 Multi-agent scenario library + comparative runs (compare_scenarios)
  • [x] 5.2 Open research export templates (export_research_packet)
  • [x] 5.3 Risk tiers → scan schedules / operator alerts (advisory Hermes cron envelopes)
  • [x] 5.3 Operator loop docs + simplified ingest routes / command map (run, commands, pending)
  • [x] 5.3 Atomic multi-term seeds (split_seed_terms, Phase 5 multi-term, Pages demos)
  • [ ] 5.3 ANN backend option if corpus grows past linear scan (deferred until corpus pain)

Milestones

  • v0.2.x: Phases 0–4 complete (Hermes skill production track)
  • v0.3.0: Phase 5.0 research simulation track
  • v0.3.6: calibrate + scenario library + research export
  • v0.3.7: risk-tier → scan/cron schedule coupling
  • v0.3.8: operator loop + ingest route simplification
  • v0.3.9: atomic multi-term seeds + Pages demos
  • v0.4.0: automatic backend pipeline (ingest → results) (current)
  • v0.3.x: Phylogeny libraries + vector hybrid lineage + research export polish
  • v1.0: Stable skill contract + long-horizon archive + optional research contribs

See SPEC.md and DESIGN.md for detailed requirements per phase.

Recent (2026-08-05)

  • v0.2.12: YTD backfill + lineage backprop
  • v0.3.0: Phase 5.0 simulation stack (transmission, agents, risk, phylogeny)
  • v0.3.3: Local SQLite vector DB; seed from registry/backfill/receipts
  • v0.3.5: Hybrid lineage re-rank + domain phylogeny packs
  • v0.3.7: Risk-tier → scan/cron schedule (advisory; post-scan advisory on scan)
  • v0.3.8: Operator loop docs; --route ingest; run / commands / pending
  • v0.3.9: Atomic multi-term seeds; Pages demos; scan packs atomic