Phase 5 — Research simulation track¶
Phase 5 extends Hyperlex beyond detect → receipt → settle into research-grade simulation of cultural transmission, multi-agent adoption, hyperstition risk, and lightweight phylogenies.
Scope (v0.3.0 / Phase 5.0)¶
| Capability | Status |
|---|---|
| Cultural transmission cascade | Ready (simulate --mode transmission) |
| Multi-agent memetic roles | Ready (simulate --mode agents) |
| Hyperstition risk forecasting | Ready (simulate --mode risk) |
| Phylogeny scaffold | Ready (simulate --mode phylogeny) |
| Domain phylogeny packs | Ready (data/phylogeny/ · --domain finance|ai-native|political|regional) |
| Hybrid lineage re-rank | Ready (lexical + vector boost) |
| Scenario library / compare | Ready (simulate --mode compare) |
| Research export | Ready (simulate --mode export) |
| Composed scenario | Ready (simulate --mode scenario) |
| Transmission calibration vs settled series | Ready (simulate --mode calibrate) |
| Risk-tier → scan/cron schedule | Ready (risk-schedule / simulate --mode schedule) |
| Open research publications | Ongoing (export + docs; external writeups separate) |
Non-goals¶
- Not market advice or auto-trading
- Not Brier without settlement
- Not rewriting historical receipts
- Not Abraxas hard dependency
Operator entry¶
Prefer the automatic pipeline for day-to-day work (includes a Phase 5 risk digest per atom):
python3 scripts/hyperlex.py pipeline "rizz" --route offline
python3 scripts/hyperlex.py pipeline "sigma rizz locked in" --route offline
# → one result unit per atom (sigma | rizz | locked in)
Research-only Phase 5:
# Single atomic term
python3 scripts/hyperlex.py simulate --term rizz --domain ai --out out/phase5/rizz.json
# Multi-term free text → auto-expands (not one blended seed)
python3 scripts/hyperlex.py terms-split "sigma rizz locked in"
python3 scripts/hyperlex.py simulate --term "sigma rizz locked in" --domain ai
# → schema hyperlex.phase5_multi_term.v1 · terms [sigma, rizz, locked in]
# Force blend only if intentional
python3 scripts/hyperlex.py simulate --term "sigma rizz locked in" --no-expand
Details: modules/simulation.md.
Atomic terms (how to read Pages)¶
| Field on site | Meaning |
|---|---|
| atoms / Terms (atomic) | Separate lexicon items simulated alone |
| original_seed | Free-text you typed — input only |
| Per-term results table | One row per atom (risk tier, etc.) |
| Brier null | Correct — research never invents scores |
Backfill packs store one term per entry. Phrases like locked in are one atom;
sigma and rizz are separate.
Pages demos: demos/atomic-terms.md ·
Example snapshot: archive/runs/backfill-phase5-rizz-2026
How it sits on the stack¶
intake → analysis (lineage, virality, hyperstition stage)
→ Phase 5 scenario (transmission + agents + risk + phylogeny)
→ optional archive / diagram / relay
→ calibration only if operator settles forecasts
Phase 5 outputs stay under SPECULATIVE. Open analysis still has provenance.brier = null.
Pages history¶
Sanitized Phase 5 digests can be appended to the static run history:
python3 scripts/hyperlex.py simulate --term rizz --out /tmp/p5.json
python3 scripts/hyperlex.py archive-export --phase5 /tmp/p5.json --history --snapshot-id "phase5-$(date -u +%Y%m%dT%H%M%SZ)"
See Run history catalog.